Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 13?

The market strongly predicts the temperature in Seoul will not reach 5°C on March 13.

The prediction market shows a 100% probability for NO, indicating a consensus that the highest temperature will not be 5°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this assessment, suggesting a very low chance of the YES outcome. Given the high confidence level and the short time to expiry, the market appears to be accurately priced.

• 1 Current sentiment is overwhelmingly against the temperature reaching 5°C.
• 2 The market probability indicates strong confidence in the NO outcome.
• 3 Historical weather data for March in Seoul supports lower temperatures.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, with no significant fluctuations in betting activity.
• 5 Time pressure is high, with only 7 hours remaining until the event.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.