Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 8?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 5°C in Seoul on March 8.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus that the highest temperature will exceed 5°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting minimal likelihood of a temperature drop to 5°C. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current predictions.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in temperatures exceeding 5°C.
• 2 Current sentiment reflects stable weather patterns leading to March 8.
• 3 Historical data suggests temperatures in early March are typically higher.
• 4 Liquidity appears strong, indicating active participation in the market.
• 5 Time pressure is not a factor as the expiry date is unknown.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.