Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or below on March 12?

Market strongly favors temperatures above 5°C in Seoul on March 12.

The prediction market indicates a high probability (99.25%) that the highest temperature in Seoul will exceed 5°C on March 12. This aligns with the Pulse AI probability of 97.25%, suggesting a consensus that temperatures will remain above this threshold. The confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors temperatures above 5°C.
• 2 The market probability is significantly higher than the AI probability.
• 3 There is a moderate confidence level of 60/100 in the prediction.
• 4 The edge of 2 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is limited, with only 11 hours remaining.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.