Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or below on March 20?

The market strongly predicts temperatures in Seoul will exceed 5°C on March 20.

With a market probability of 100% for NO, participants are confident that the highest temperature in Seoul will be above 5°C. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a very low probability of 1% for YES. Given the high confidence level of 85/100 and a fair pricing edge, the market appears stable as it approaches expiry.

• 1 Market consensus is overwhelmingly against temperatures being 5°C or below.
• 2 High confidence level suggests strong backing for the NO position.
• 3 The market is considered fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 4 Time to expiry is immediate, indicating urgency in the market.
• 5 Low liquidity may affect the ability to adjust positions quickly.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.