Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 11?

High probability for Seoul's temperature to reach 6°C on March 11.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus with a 91.5% probability for the temperature in Seoul to be 6°C on March 11. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a high likelihood of this outcome. Given the edge of -1.5, the market appears to be fairly priced, suggesting limited room for significant shifts in probability.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a YES outcome.
• 2 Market probability closely aligns with AI predictions.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the forecast.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the market.
• 5 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant interest.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.