Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 20?

The market strongly predicts the temperature in Seoul will not reach 6°C on March 20.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% belief that the highest temperature in Seoul will not reach 6°C on March 20. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, showing a minimal chance of 1% for a YES outcome. With a confidence level of 80/100, the market appears fairly priced given the imminent expiry time of just 1 hour.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against the temperature reaching 6°C.
• 2 Pulse AI closely mirrors market sentiment with 99% NO probability.
• 3 High confidence level suggests stability in current predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, limiting potential for significant changes.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge score of 1.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.