Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 12?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Seoul's temperature on March 12.

With a market probability of 98.15% for NO and only 1.85% for YES, the consensus is that the highest temperature will not reach 7°C. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of the YES outcome.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome for the temperature prediction.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest a low likelihood of reaching 7°C on the specified date.
• 3 The market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 2.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 11 hours, adding urgency to any potential changes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.