Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 16?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Seoul's temperature on March 16.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.15% chance that the highest temperature in Seoul will not reach 7°C on March 16. The Pulse AI also reflects a low likelihood of 2.85% for a YES outcome, suggesting a consensus against this temperature threshold. With a confidence level of 60/100 and only 23 hours until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows a strong NO sentiment at 99.15%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market data, indicating consensus.
• 3 Confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency for market participants.
• 5 Current weather forecasts do not support a rise to 7°C.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.