Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 8?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 7°C in Seoul on March 8.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, the consensus suggests that temperatures will likely stay below 7°C in Seoul on March 8. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, indicating a very low chance of reaching the specified temperature. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a high confidence level of 85.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 7°C.
• 2 Historical data suggests March temperatures in Seoul rarely exceed 7°C.
• 3 Liquidity in the market is low, indicating limited trading activity.
• 4 Weather forecasts currently do not support a rise to 7°C.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.