Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on April 1?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Seoul's temperature on April 1.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.75% chance that the highest temperature in Seoul will not reach 8°C on April 1. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for a YES outcome. With a confidence level of 60/100, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market strongly favors a NO outcome at 99.75%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability suggests a YES chance of 1.75%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 27 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.