Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 15?

The market indicates a low chance of Seoul reaching 8°C on March 15.

With a market probability of 3.55% for a high of 8°C, the consensus leans heavily towards a NO outcome at 96.45%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a low likelihood of the temperature reaching the specified level.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Historical weather data suggests low likelihood for this temperature.
• 3 Market is fairly priced with minimal edge observed.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.