Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 1?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Seoul's temperature on April 1.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.65% likelihood that the highest temperature in Seoul will not reach 9°C on April 1. The Pulse AI also supports this view, with a 96.65% probability for NO, suggesting a consensus against the temperature reaching the specified level.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against reaching 9°C.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slight chance for YES at 3.35%.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 55 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, with only 26 hours remaining.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.