Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 14?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Seoul's temperature on March 14.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.95% likelihood that the highest temperature in Seoul will not reach 9°C on March 14. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for a YES outcome at 1%. With a confidence level of 65/100 and a time to expiry of just 7 hours, the market appears fairly priced with minimal edge.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors a NO outcome at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability suggests a low chance of YES at 1%.
• 3 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 7 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.95.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.