Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on March 13?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 10°C in Shanghai on March 13.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it indicates a strong consensus that the highest temperature will exceed 10°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, suggesting minimal disagreement among participants. Confidence is moderate at 65/100, reflecting some uncertainty despite the clear market sentiment.

• 1 Market heavily favors temperatures above 10°C with 99.95% for NO.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight disagreement with 1% for YES.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 9 hours, adding urgency to market movements.
• 5 Edge of 0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.