Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 15?

The market strongly predicts that Shanghai's temperature won't reach 11°C on March 15.

With a market probability of 0% for YES and 100% for NO, there is a strong consensus against the temperature reaching 11°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with the market, indicating a high level of confidence in this prediction.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against the temperature reaching 11°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level suggests strong data backing the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, limiting potential for significant changes.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with minimal edge detected.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.