Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 16?

Market indicates a low chance of Shanghai reaching 11°C on March 16.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 11°C in Shanghai, with a probability of only 13.5% for 'YES'. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, suggesting that the market is fairly priced with a slight edge towards the 'NO' outcome.

• 1 Current market probability favors 'NO' at 86.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI slightly higher on 'YES' at 15.5%, indicating some uncertainty.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, suggesting room for market movement.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 13 hours, increasing urgency for updates.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2, indicating balanced sentiment.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.