Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 24?

The market strongly predicts that Shanghai's temperature won't reach 11°C on March 24.

With a market probability of 0% for a temperature of 11°C, the consensus is that this threshold will not be met. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 1% probability for 'YES', indicating a strong belief in the 'NO' outcome.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against reaching 11°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 80/100, indicating reliability.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to the prediction.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a minimal edge.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.