Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on March 14?

The market strongly predicts temperatures in Shanghai will exceed 11°C on March 14.

With a market probability of 100% for NO, participants expect the highest temperature in Shanghai to be above 11°C on March 14. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a strong consensus among traders. The confidence level suggests that the market is perceived as fairly priced, reflecting a stable expectation of warmer weather.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in temperatures exceeding 11°C.
• 2 Current sentiment is strongly against the possibility of cold weather.
• 3 Historical weather data for March in Shanghai supports warmer temperatures.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, indicating active participation in the market.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, but current conditions suggest little volatility.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.