Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C or below on March 25?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 11°C in Shanghai on March 25.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures being 11°C or below, the consensus is that it will be warmer. The Pulse AI probability further supports this view, indicating a very low chance of cooler temperatures, and the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 85 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in temperatures exceeding 11°C.
• 2 Current sentiment is overwhelmingly against the YES outcome.
• 3 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced with minimal discrepancies.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential shifts.
• 5 Historical weather trends in March support warmer temperatures.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.