Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 15?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 12°C in Shanghai on March 15.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it suggests a high confidence that the temperature will exceed 12°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of reaching the 12°C mark. The edge of 0.95 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Market shows overwhelming confidence in temperatures exceeding 12°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 3 High edge suggests the market is accurately priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 80 indicates strong belief in the forecast.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential changes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.