Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 19?

Market favors a high of 12°C in Shanghai on March 19 with 68.5% probability.

The prediction market indicates a strong belief that Shanghai's temperature will reach 12°C on March 19, with a probability of 68.5%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly lower probability of 65.5%. The market appears fairly priced, suggesting a balanced sentiment among participants.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards a high of 12°C.
• 2 The probability gap between YES and NO indicates confidence in the forecast.
• 3 Market probabilities are closely aligned with AI predictions.
• 4 The edge of -3 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market movements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.