Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 24?

The market strongly predicts that Shanghai's temperature won't reach 12°C on March 24.

Current market probabilities indicate a firm belief that the highest temperature in Shanghai will not reach 12°C on March 24, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 99% NO probability, suggesting strong consensus among participants. Given the high confidence level of 80, the market appears to be accurately priced.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against reaching 12°C.
• 2 High confidence level suggests reliable pricing.
• 3 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 4 Time to expiry is very short, adding urgency.
• 5 No significant liquidity issues observed in this market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.