Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 25?

The market strongly predicts that Shanghai's temperature will not reach 12°C on March 25.

Current market data shows a 0% probability for a 12°C temperature in Shanghai on March 25, indicating a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment with a 1% probability for a YES outcome, suggesting that the market is likely well-informed and fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability is firmly against the 12°C threshold.
• 2 High confidence level of 90/100 suggests strong market stability.
• 3 Time to expiry is short at 7 hours, limiting potential shifts.
• 4 Edge of 1 indicates fair pricing relative to AI predictions.
• 5 Low liquidity may affect responsiveness to new information.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.