Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C or below on March 26?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 12°C in Shanghai on March 26.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Shanghai will exceed 12°C on March 26. This aligns with the Pulse AI probability, which also shows a strong belief in temperatures being above this threshold, suggesting a consensus among participants regarding warmer weather expectations.

• 1 Market probability shows 100% confidence in temperatures above 12°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, favoring warmer conditions.
• 3 The edge of 1 suggests that the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 80 indicates strong belief in the current prediction.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.