Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 13?

Market favors temperatures above 13°C in Shanghai on March 13.

The prediction market indicates a higher likelihood of temperatures exceeding 13°C in Shanghai, with a NO probability at 65.5%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, though slightly more optimistic about the YES outcome. With 8 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced, suggesting stable expectations among participants.

• 1 Current market sentiment leans towards temperatures above 13°C.
• 2 Market probability shows a clear NO preference at 65.5%.
• 3 Pulse AI probability aligns closely but is slightly more optimistic.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is limited, adding urgency to market movements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.