Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 14?

The market strongly predicts that Shanghai's temperature will not reach 13°C on March 14.

Current market probabilities indicate a 0% chance of Shanghai's temperature hitting 13°C on March 14, with a strong consensus against it. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a very low likelihood of the event occurring. Given the high confidence level of 90/100, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors NO at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market, showing 99% for NO.
• 3 High confidence level suggests stability in current predictions.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.