Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19?

Market favors a NO outcome for Shanghai's temperature on March 19.

The market indicates a 79% likelihood that the highest temperature in Shanghai will not reach 13°C on March 19. With a confidence level of 60/100, the market appears fairly priced, suggesting a consensus against the YES outcome. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, predicting a NO outcome at 76%.

• 1 Current market probability shows a strong preference for NO at 79%.
• 2 Pulse AI's prediction aligns closely with market sentiment at 76% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in the market's pricing.
• 4 The edge of 3 suggests that the market is fairly priced with no significant misalignment.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 15 hours, increasing urgency for any new information.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.