Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 25?

Market strongly favors temperatures above 13°C in Shanghai on March 25.

The prediction market shows a high probability of 99.7% for temperatures not reaching 13°C in Shanghai on March 25, with a low market probability of only 0.30% for temperatures at or below that mark. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a strong consensus against the likelihood of this temperature threshold being met.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures above 13°C.
• 2 The market probability indicates a strong consensus against the threshold being met.
• 3 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment, reinforcing the NO position.
• 4 The edge score suggests the market is fairly priced with no significant mispricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential shifts in temperature forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.