Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 20?

Market leans towards temperatures not reaching 14°C in Shanghai on March 20.

The prediction market indicates a 61% probability that the highest temperature in Shanghai will not reach 14°C on March 20. The market probability aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability, suggesting a balanced assessment of the situation. With a confidence level of 65 out of 100, there is moderate certainty in the market's stance.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors temperatures below 14°C.
• 2 The market probability is slightly lower than the AI probability.
• 3 There is a moderate confidence level indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is limited, adding urgency to the market dynamics.
• 5 The edge suggests the market is fairly priced without significant bias.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.