Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 27?

Market strongly predicts the highest temperature in Shanghai will not reach 14°C on March 27.

The market shows a definitive NO probability of 100% for the highest temperature in Shanghai on March 27 being 14°C, indicating strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting a very low chance of the temperature reaching the specified level. With only 7 hours until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced with an edge of 1.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against the temperature reaching 14°C.
• 2 The Pulse AI reflects a similar outlook with a 99% probability for NO.
• 3 The market is considered fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 4 Confidence level is high at 85/100, indicating strong belief in the prediction.
• 5 Time pressure is a factor with only 7 hours remaining until the market closes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.