Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 29?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 14°C in Shanghai on March 29.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it suggests a high confidence that the temperature will exceed 14°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a consensus on the expected weather conditions. Given the time to expiry is only 10 hours, the market reflects a stable outlook.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors temperatures above 14°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level of 80/100 indicates strong market belief.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, limiting potential for major shifts.
• 5 Edge of 0.95 suggests market pricing is accurate and stable.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.