Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 18?

The market indicates a low probability for Shanghai's temperature reaching 15°C on March 18.

With a market probability of 14.65% for a high of 15°C and a Pulse AI probability of 16.65%, the consensus leans towards a NO outcome. The confidence level is moderate at 60/100, suggesting some uncertainty but overall alignment in expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment strongly favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Weather forecasts are critical in determining temperature predictions.
• 3 Historical data may show similar temperature patterns for this date.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent betting interest.
• 5 Time pressure is limited with only 23 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.