Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 21?

The market is evenly split on whether Shanghai's temperature will reach 15°C on March 21.

With a market probability of 49% for YES and 51% for NO, the prediction is closely contested. The Pulse AI probability slightly favors YES at 52%, indicating a small edge towards that outcome, but overall confidence remains moderate at 60 out of 100.

• 1 Market probabilities are nearly balanced, indicating uncertainty.
• 2 Pulse verdict suggests the outcome is too close to call.
• 3 AI probability slightly favors YES, but not by a large margin.
• 4 Confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market movements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.