Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 24?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 16°C in Shanghai on March 24.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', it suggests a high confidence that the temperature will exceed 16°C. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of reaching 16°C. Given the edge of 0.95, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 16°C.
• 2 The confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 3 Time to expiry is short, allowing little room for market adjustments.
• 4 The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is well-aligned with the AI's assessment.
• 5 Historical weather data may support the prevailing market view.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.