Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 30?

The market strongly predicts the temperature in Shanghai will not reach 16°C on March 30.

The market shows a 100% probability for 'NO', indicating a consensus that the highest temperature will be below 16°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this assessment, suggesting a very low chance of reaching the specified temperature. With only hours until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability indicates a strong belief that 16°C will not be reached.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment with minimal variance.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in the current predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is critical, as the market is set to close imminently.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1, indicating stability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.