Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or higher on March 20?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 16°C in Shanghai on March 20.

The prediction market shows a significant probability of 98.55% for temperatures not reaching 16°C in Shanghai on March 20. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability of 98.05%, indicating a consensus on the expected weather conditions. With a confidence level of 65/100 and only 10 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 16°C.
• 2 Market probability indicates low expectations for warmer weather.
• 3 Pulse AI aligns closely with market probabilities, suggesting reliability.
• 4 Confidence level of 65/100 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 5 Time pressure of 10 hours may lead to rapid shifts if new information arises.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.