Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 14?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 17°C in Shanghai on March 14.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', it suggests a strong consensus against the temperature reaching 17°C. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating low expectations for such a high temperature on that date.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors temperatures below 17°C.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight chance for temperatures reaching 17°C.
• 3 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 0.95.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding to the unpredictability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.