Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 22?

Market favors temperatures below 17°C in Shanghai on March 22.

The market shows a strong preference for temperatures not reaching 17°C in Shanghai, with a probability of 78.5% for a NO outcome. Both the market and AI predictions align closely, indicating a consensus on the expected temperature. With 26 hours until expiry, there is still time for weather forecasts to influence these probabilities.

• 1 Current market probability favors NO at 78.5%.
• 2 AI prediction closely mirrors market sentiment with NO at 77%.
• 3 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is short, with only 26 hours remaining for potential changes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.