Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 14?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 18°C in Shanghai on March 14.

Current market odds indicate a very low probability of the highest temperature in Shanghai reaching 18°C on March 14, with a consensus of 99.95% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this view, suggesting minimal deviation from market pricing.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment at 99%.
• 3 Confidence level is high at 85/100, indicating strong agreement among predictors.
• 4 Edge of 0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced with little room for mispricing.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts in sentiment.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.