Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 29?

High probability indicates that 18°C will likely be the highest temperature in Shanghai on March 29.

The market shows a very high probability of 99.85% for the highest temperature in Shanghai reaching 18°C on March 29, suggesting strong consensus among participants. With a Pulse AI probability of 99%, the data indicates a high level of confidence in this prediction, although the edge of -0.85 suggests the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of 18°C being the highest temperature.
• 2 The market probability is closely aligned with the Pulse AI prediction.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The time to expiry is short at 2 hours, adding urgency to the prediction.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a minimal edge of -0.85.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.