Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C or higher on March 14?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 19°C in Shanghai on March 14.

Current market probabilities indicate a high likelihood that the highest temperature in Shanghai will be below 19°C on March 14, with a consensus probability of 99.7% for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 1.8%, suggesting some uncertainty but overall confidence in cooler temperatures.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors temperatures below 19°C.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight divergence with a low probability for 'YES'.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 6 hours, adding urgency to market movements.
• 5 Edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.