Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 27?

The market strongly favors a NO on Shanghai's temperature reaching 20°C on March 27.

With a market probability of 99.3% for NO and a Pulse AI probability of 97.8% for the same outcome, there is a strong consensus against the temperature reaching 20°C. The confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate uncertainty, but the edge indicates the market is fairly priced.

• 1 Current sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 Weather forecasts indicate cooler temperatures leading up to March 27.
• 3 Historical data shows low likelihood of reaching 20°C in late March.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with active participation.
• 5 Time pressure is low, with only 4 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.