Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 29?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 20°C in Shanghai on March 29.

With a market probability of 99.85% for 'NO', it indicates a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 20°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely with this sentiment, suggesting limited expectation for a temperature rise. The confidence level of 65/100 reflects moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors 'NO' at 99.85%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 Edge suggests market pricing is fairly accurate.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.