Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on March 21?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 20°C in Shanghai on March 21.

Current market probabilities indicate a high likelihood that the temperature in Shanghai will not reach 20°C on March 21, with a consensus around 99.7% for the NO outcome. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly higher probability for YES at 2.3%, suggesting some uncertainty but overall confidence in the NO prediction.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.7%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a low chance of YES at 2.3%.
• 3 Current sentiment indicates confidence in cooler temperatures.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 12 hours, adding urgency.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.