Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on March 28?

The market strongly favors a high of 21°C in Shanghai on March 28.

With a market probability of 99.95% for a high of 21°C, the consensus is overwhelmingly in favor of this outcome. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely at 99%, indicating strong confidence in the prediction. The edge of -0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced, reflecting a high level of certainty.

• 1 Market sentiment is overwhelmingly positive for 21°C on March 28.
• 2 High confidence level of 85/100 indicates strong belief in the prediction.
• 3 The edge of -0.95 suggests no significant mispricing in the market.
• 4 Current probabilities reflect stable weather forecasts.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.