Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on March 29?

The market predicts a low chance of Shanghai reaching 21°C on March 29.

Current market probability indicates an 80% likelihood that the highest temperature in Shanghai will not reach 21°C on March 29. The Pulse AI probability suggests a slightly higher chance of 23% for a YES outcome, but overall confidence remains moderate at 60 out of 100. With 9 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced based on available data.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against reaching 21°C.
• 2 Pulse AI indicates a slightly higher probability for a YES outcome.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is limited, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 5 Current market pricing reflects a balanced view of temperature forecasts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.