Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or higher on March 25?

Market strongly favors temperatures below 21°C in Shanghai on March 25.

The prediction market shows a significant preference for temperatures not reaching 21°C, with a 99.95% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also indicates a low likelihood of exceeding this temperature, suggesting a consensus on cooler weather expectations for that date.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors temperatures below 21°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low temperature expectations.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 16 hours remaining for potential shifts.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced, suggesting no significant mispricing at this time.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.