Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on March 30?

The market predicts a low chance for Shanghai's temperature to reach 22°C on March 30.

Current market probabilities indicate an 80.65% likelihood that the highest temperature in Shanghai will not reach 22°C on March 30. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, with a slightly higher probability for a 'YES' outcome. Given the confidence level of 60/100 and the time to expiry of 7 hours, the market appears fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows a strong preference for 'NO' at 80.65%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time pressure is increasing with only 7 hours until expiry.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.