Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on March 28?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Shanghai's temperature on March 28.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, participants overwhelmingly expect the highest temperature in Shanghai to be below 23°C on March 28. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating a consensus that the temperature will not reach the specified threshold. The edge of 0.95 suggests that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in a NO outcome for temperature prediction.
• 2 Current sentiment reflects a low likelihood of reaching 23°C.
• 3 Historical weather data supports expectations of lower temperatures.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, with minimal fluctuations in betting activity.
• 5 Time pressure is significant, with only 2 hours until the market expires.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.