Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or higher on March 29?

Market predicts a low chance of Shanghai reaching 23°C on March 29.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the highest temperature in Shanghai reaching 23°C, with a 97.8% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of exceeding this temperature threshold.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a 'NO' outcome.
• 2 The probability from Pulse AI is slightly higher than the market, suggesting minor optimism.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 10 hours, increasing urgency for market participants.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 2, reflecting balanced expectations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.